From the abstract of a recent paper in Science:
When 12-month-old infants view complex displays of multiple moving objects, they form time-varying expectations about future events that are a systematic and rational function of several stimulus variables. Infants’ looking times are consistent with a Bayesian ideal observer embodying abstract principles of object motion. The model explains infants’ statistical expectations and classic qualitative findings about object cognition in younger babies, not originally viewed as probabilistic inferences.
I robbed all of the above including the post title from Chris Pincock at Honest Toil.
I’ll likely look up the whole paper the next time I have an opportunity. I’ve been interested in “the Bayesian mind” for some time. If our minds are Bayesain machines, it is not hard to explain our prejudices, our unsupportable beliefs, our unfounded fears but also much of what is best about us. It also explains why experience can be a good thing and why it can be a bad thing.